Last updated October 12, 2021
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Creaser | 11 | 33 | 73.3% | 1 | 31.9 | 1 |
| 2 | Dan Ellenberger | 10 | 33 | 66.7% | 2 | 29.2 | 3 |
| 3 | Nick Boucher | 9 | 33 | 60.0% | 3 | 26.2 | 7 |
| 3 | Andrew Batchelor | 9 | 33 | 60.0% | 3 | 27.3 | 4 |
| 3 | Matt Hogel | 9 | 33 | 60.0% | 3 | 29.3 | 2 |
| 6 | Mike Thorne | 8 | 33 | 53.3% | 6 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 6 | Gavin Gray | 8 | 33 | 53.3% | 6 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 8 | Andrew Moeller | 7 | 33 | 46.7% | 8 | 22.4 | 8 |
| 9 | Luke Phelan | 5 | 33 | 33.3% | 9 | 22.4 | 8 |
| 10 | Karl Loiseau | 3 | 33 | 20.0% | 10 | 19.8 | 10 |
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 4 | 11.4 | @NE | 0.64 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4 | 12.3 | @PHI | 0.73 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 8.2 | @DET | 0.62 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 5 | 12.4 | @CLE | 0.41 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 9.0 | BUF | 0.31 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2 | 7.8 | @CAR | 0.54 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 4 | 11.1 | LAC | 0.61 |
| New Orleans Saints | 3 | 9.9 | BYE | |
| Atlanta Falcons | 2 | 6.3 | BYE | |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 4 | 11.6 | @NYG | 0.82 |
| Carolina Panthers | 3 | 8.8 | MIN | 0.46 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 8.9 | BYE | |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 4 | 10.5 | @CHI | 0.66 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 11.1 | @BAL | 0.39 |
| New York Jets | 1 | 4.6 | BYE | |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 10.0 | ARI | 0.59 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 9.3 | LVR | 0.62 |
| New England Patriots | 2 | 7.7 | DAL | 0.36 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 4 | 13.4 | @TEN | 0.69 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 8.0 | @DEN | 0.38 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 5.6 | RAM | 0.18 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 7.8 | GB | 0.34 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 2 | 8.1 | @PIT | 0.33 |
| Washington | 2 | 6.5 | KC | 0.27 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 7.5 | TB | 0.27 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | 7.5 | SEA | 0.67 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 1 | 7.4 | HOU | 0.81 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 2 | 9.5 | @WAS | 0.73 |
| Miami Dolphins | 1 | 6.6 | @JAX | 0.62 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 3.7 | MIA | 0.38 |
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 1 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 4 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 8 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 5 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| New York Jets | 1 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| New Orleans Saints | 3 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 2 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 11 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| Carolina Panthers | 3 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 25 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| New England Patriots | 2 | 12 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| Washington | 2 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | 9 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 1 | 14 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| Miami Dolphins | 1 | 16 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 29 | 1 | -1 | 2 |