Last updated October 12, 2021

Standings

Rank Team Wins Remaining Games Win % Win % Rank Projected Wins (FPI) Projected Rank (FPI)
1 Steve Creaser 11 33 73.3% 1 31.9 1
2 Dan Ellenberger 10 33 66.7% 2 29.2 3
3 Nick Boucher 9 33 60.0% 3 26.2 7
3 Andrew Batchelor 9 33 60.0% 3 27.3 4
3 Matt Hogel 9 33 60.0% 3 29.3 2
6 Mike Thorne 8 33 53.3% 6 27.0 5
6 Gavin Gray 8 33 53.3% 6 27.0 5
8 Andrew Moeller 7 33 46.7% 8 22.4 8
9 Luke Phelan 5 33 33.3% 9 22.4 8
10 Karl Loiseau 3 33 20.0% 10 19.8 10

Expanded Standings

Team Wins Projected
Wins 		Next
Opponent 		Win Probability
in Next Game
Steve Creaser
Dallas Cowboys 4 11.4 @NE 0.64
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4 12.3 @PHI 0.73
Cincinnati Bengals 3 8.2 @DET 0.62
Dan Ellenberger
Arizona Cardinals 5 12.4 @CLE 0.41
Tennessee Titans 3 9.0 BUF 0.31
Minnesota Vikings 2 7.8 @CAR 0.54
Andrew Batchelor
Baltimore Ravens 4 11.1 LAC 0.61
New Orleans Saints 3 9.9 BYE
Atlanta Falcons 2 6.3 BYE
Matt Hogel
Los Angeles Rams 4 11.6 @NYG 0.82
Carolina Panthers 3 8.8 MIN 0.46
San Francisco 49ers 2 8.9 BYE
Nick Boucher
Green Bay Packers 4 10.5 @CHI 0.66
Los Angeles Chargers 4 11.1 @BAL 0.39
New York Jets 1 4.6 BYE
Gavin Gray
Cleveland Browns 3 10.0 ARI 0.59
Denver Broncos 3 9.3 LVR 0.62
New England Patriots 2 7.7 DAL 0.36
Mike Thorne
Buffalo Bills 4 13.4 @TEN 0.69
Las Vegas Raiders 3 8.0 @DEN 0.38
New York Giants 1 5.6 RAM 0.18
Andrew Moeller
Chicago Bears 3 7.8 GB 0.34
Seattle Seahawks 2 8.1 @PIT 0.33
Washington 2 6.5 KC 0.27
Luke Phelan
Philadelphia Eagles 2 7.5 TB 0.27
Pittsburgh Steelers 2 7.5 SEA 0.67
Indianapolis Colts 1 7.4 HOU 0.81
Karl Loiseau
Kansas City Chiefs 2 9.5 @WAS 0.73
Miami Dolphins 1 6.6 @JAX 0.62
Jacksonville Jaguars 0 3.7 MIA 0.38

Weekly Head-to-Heads

Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested

Draft Analysis

Team Wins Draft
Spot 		Expected
Wins 		Performance vs.
Expectation 		Better
Choices
Steve Creaser
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4 1 5 -1 1
Dallas Cowboys 4 20 2 2 0
Cincinnati Bengals 3 27 1 2 0
Dan Ellenberger
Tennessee Titans 3 8 4 -1 2
Arizona Cardinals 5 17 2 3 0
Minnesota Vikings 2 21 2 0 4
Nick Boucher
Green Bay Packers 4 3 4 0 1
Los Angeles Chargers 4 13 3 1 1
New York Jets 1 30 1 0 0
Andrew Batchelor
Baltimore Ravens 4 5 4 0 1
New Orleans Saints 3 15 3 0 2
Atlanta Falcons 2 26 1 1 2
Matt Hogel
Los Angeles Rams 4 7 4 0 1
San Francisco 49ers 2 11 3 -1 8
Carolina Panthers 3 28 1 2 0
Mike Thorne
Buffalo Bills 4 4 4 0 1
Las Vegas Raiders 3 18 2 1 1
New York Giants 1 25 2 -1 3
Gavin Gray
Cleveland Browns 3 10 3 0 3
New England Patriots 2 12 3 -1 8
Denver Broncos 3 24 2 1 0
Andrew Moeller
Seattle Seahawks 2 6 4 -2 11
Washington 2 19 2 0 4
Chicago Bears 3 22 2 1 0
Luke Phelan
Pittsburgh Steelers 2 9 3 -1 10
Indianapolis Colts 1 14 3 -2 11
Philadelphia Eagles 2 23 2 0 3
Karl Loiseau
Kansas City Chiefs 2 2 4 -2 15
Miami Dolphins 1 16 3 -2 11
Jacksonville Jaguars 0 29 1 -1 2

Draft Results